Calculation Methods explained…

This page is a work in progress but I have had to publish it to allow for links in other posts to work – My apologies, I will tidy it up as soon as possible ;)

The idea of the page is to provide a quick summary for my methods with links to more in-depth posts if further info is required.  Here we go then!

Driver Consistencies Explained

I start by copying all the lap times for each driver during the race into a spreadsheet and taking all the laps (minus any safety car periods) and calculating the mean and Standard Deviation.

Then I make a graph with the calculated data.  From the graph made, the dots represent the mean average lap times and the vertical bars cover one standard deviation from the mean. Laps driven under the safety car are also not considered because these were not set competitively.  Please refer to this post for further info.

Driver Consistencies – Standard Deviation

I use Standard Deviation for my Driver Consistency posts.  The page explaining how Standard Deviation works and how I use it to help analyse lap time consistency can be found here

Qualifying Analysis – Q3 Fuel Loads

Fuel loads are calculated as follows:

F=W-(605+3L)

Where:

F= Fuel weight

W= Weight of car after scrutineering

L= amount of fuel (in KG) required to do a lap of the circuit (from the F1 Yearbook).

From this if I divide the fuel weight by the amount of fuel required for one lap, I can predict how many laps there will be until the driver has to make a pit stop.  This method appears to be common practice as a few people (including the BBC) have ended up with similar numbers to mine.

The reason why three laps are subtracted is because the minimum fuel required to start the race would be just enough for a car to do an out lap, a parade lap and then an in lap for more fuel.  Finally please note that 605 is the minimum weight of an F1 cars as required in the 2009 regulations.  For more info, please refer to my Qualifying Analysis Explained post.

Qualifying Analysis – Q3 Fuel Adjusted Times

From the F1 Yearbook we can use figures for each circuit that calculate the cost in fractions of a second for each kilo of fuel that the car carries.

Therefore from this information we can estimate a fuel-corrected lap time by calculating how much of a penalty each driver was carrying with their fuel weight and subtracting this from the lap time.  This is done as follows:

C=T-(P*F)

Where:

C= Fuel-corrected lap time

T= Q3 Lap time

P= Penalty in fractions of a second for each kilo of fuel carried

F= Fuel Weight in Kilos

Using this information and the Fuel Loads previously calculated, we can compare directly how quick each lap time was if it were set using as little fuel as possible.  For more info, please refer to my Qualifying Analysis Explained post.

Fantasy Racers – 2009 Fantasy Racers Driver’s Championship

This is a graph calculated by taking the cumulative Fantasy Racers points scored in each race for the season so far and making a line graph of the top 8 in the championship – the graph looks super pretty with all the colours too ;)  For more info, please refer to my post on Fantasy Racers Explained.

Fantasy Racers – Average Points Per Race

I take the cumulative points scored in the season so far and divide by the number of races to give a good idea over a season how well a driver does.  For more info, please refer to my post on Fantasy Racers Explained.

Fantasy Racers – Points Per Million

(Note: Driver values are constantly changing due to previous success and amount of team picks – but the values for each driver are ‘set’ at the Friday deadline for driver changes to a team. Therefore the average of these values were taken in this calculation.)

Now this is the big one: how much is a driver worth in terms of how many points he scored versus how much he cost? In other words, which drivers are the best value for money?  Well, Points Per Million is calculated as “Number of Points Scored in the season”divided by“Average Cost over the course of the Season”.  What is surprising is that not all the successful drivers are the best value for money – Sebastian Bourdais may well have been sacked but he is still better than two other drivers, for example! 

For more info, please refer to my post on Fantasy Racers Explained.

If there are any other calculation methods that need explaining, then please leave me a comment and I will post an explanation for you :)

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