Fantasy Racers – Singapore

Not the best of races as described in my Driver Consistency Post, but a good win for Hamilton and the Brawns managed to make the most of a bad weekend, while the Red Bulls didn’t!

Driver Scores

But how does that translate into the Fantasy Racers scores?  Let’s have a look at the driver scores from the Grand Prix today. By the way, for more information on my calculation methods, please visit my page on Fantasy Racers Explained

Sin09_FR_race_points

This pretty much mirrors the race order, except Alonso who got the fastest lap and so ends up in second instead of Glock (sorry RG!).  A bad day for you if you had ALG, BUE, WEB, SUT or GRO in your team (I have Sutil :( )…

Championship scores

How is the championship going?  Let’s have a look at the scores:

Sin09_FR_champ_points

Button has a big lead and it’s unlikely he’ll be caught now, but it is still possible… (Art imitating life or what ;) ).  Not much change from the last race, the same drivers are in the top 10 but some of the drivers swapped places.  Hamilton gained two places and the most points, Glock and Alonso gained the most ground, while Heidfeld and Webber were the biggest losers…

Average Points Per Race

Sin09_FR_av_points

Top two are the same as the last race, except Vettel is now third after Webber retired.  Rosberg drops a few places after his ‘silly mistake’ today, and Hamilton gains a few places after winning today.  Grosjean has had a rotten time of late – and so far is still 8 points behind Piquet on average.

Points Per Million

Sin09_FR_PPM

Fisichella-Rosberg-Barrichello are still your best value for money – with the three guys starting mid-season being the least value.  Alonso and Glock would have been good picks too!

Last 3 Grands Prix

Sin09_FR_race_points_Last3

Raikkonen is in first place again – but is level with Barrichello, Vettel jumps up to third and Kovalainen drops to fourth.  Hamilton and Button are seventh and eighth due to inconsistent results, while Webber drops right down the order after two retirements on the bounce.  No wonder his championship chances are over :(

My Team

Well, I have climbed another eight places to 46th in the Sidepodcast League and stayed in 4th in the Pitlane Fanatic League. My team lies 260th overall which means I have climbed another 21 places. Not a bad week then, but how did my drivers do?


Adrian Sutil
Force India F1 Team
5.80m – 26 points


Jenson Button
Brawn GP
11.50m – 131 points


Robert Kubica
BMW Sauber F1 Team
5.40m – 101 points


Rubens Barrichello
Brawn GP
10.50m – 121 points


Sebastian Vettel
Red Bull Racing
11.70m – 141 points


Timo Glock
Panasonic Toyota Racing
6.40m – 161 points

So basically instead of some drivers doing well and others doing badly, I have all my drivers except for ‘Silly Sutil’ doing all right for once.  To be honest, Sutil’s mistake was so bone-headed I’m surprised Danny from Fantasy Racers didn’t just take all of his points away.

Well that’s your lot for this race then.  Button is looking good for the championship, but it’s far from over yet as I seem to remember Hamilton losing under similar circumstances in 2007 :(  As mentioned in my Driver Consistency Post, all he has to do is score 5 more points than Barrichello to be champion – although I don’t think it will happen in Suzuka.

One thing is for sure – I will be glad to return to a proper racetrack like Suzuka after all these silly Mickey Mouse tracks we have now – honestly, Singapore was such a bore!  After the first lap there was hardly any passing and in my opinion, it’s just a prettier version of Valencia.  Next week in Japan, the men should be sorted from the boys!!! :D

How did you find the race?  What do you think of the circuit?  How did your driver do today?  Do you think Button will win the championship in Suzuka or will it go down to the wire?  Your comments are much appreciated :)

Driver Consistency – Singapore

Time to see who was a Singapore Flyer and who had too many Singapore Slings – yes, it’s Driver Consistency time!!!  If you need more info on my calculation methods then please refer to my post on Driver Consistency Explained.

Driver Consistency

So who was the most consistent?  Here is a graph showing the average lap times and standard deviation for the Singapore Grand Prix:

Sin09_race_laps_av

(Note: The laps where race was run under the Safety Car have been excluded as these are not considered ‘Racing Laps’)

The graph is a little more mixed up than last time, due to a lot of drivers retiring which always jumbles up the results.  However, it does match the finishing order for the most part, so there is not much more to be said.  Instead, let us look at the ‘Racing Laps’ – that is, all the timed laps except for pit stops and those run under the Safety Car:

Sin09_race_laps_av_nopit

So Hamilton was still fastest, but Vettel jumps ahead of Glock and Alonso.  Rosberg (without his penalty for crossing the white line) would have been sixth, whereas after qualifying I predicted he would be fourth or fifth – almost RG-esque there ;)  I also managed to pick the correct winner and the Brawns scoring points, although I did get it wrong about Red Bull doing well :(

Button is only seventh quickest because of brake problems near the end of the race, Heidfeld would have been soundly beaten by Kubica anyway and Webber would have not finished in the points, even if he did make it to the end of the race.

Conclusions

Street circuits are often hard to judge because pace can often be determined by who a driver was stuck behind in the race, due to a lack of overtaking.  Today’s race was no different – after a bit of jostling on the first lap, there was not much action during the race.  Sadly, while Singapore may be pretty, it does not offer much more excitement than Valencia.

The race was only interesting to see which Brawn driver would affect the gap between them in the championship.  Rosberg showed again that he still has to prove that he has what it takes to win – in my eyes he is overrated and a better driver in that car would have won by now.

Yet again, he showed pace in a quick car, yet he fell off the pace and made a fundamental mistake leaving the pits (crossing over the white line), resulting in a drive-through penalty.  How many more excuses will people make before they realise that he just is not good enough, I wonder?

In contrast, Glock did brilliantly well to get the Hilux into second place – and had Toyota won, it would have surely have cemented their place in the sport next year…  I will award Mr. Glock my “Prime Number of the Race” award for a brilliant drive “:D

Red Bull all but ruled themselves out of contention for the championship – Webber crashed out after an apparent brake failure and Vettel speeding in the pitlane and then damaging the floor of his car, he did not score many points today, meaning that he only really has a mathematical chance of winning the championship..

The Brawn boys – well, they really made a silk purse out of a sow’s ear today.  Jenson could not get out of Q2, and Rubens had to start tenth after a gearbox penalty, but managed to finish fifth and sixth after good use of strategy and keeping consistent pace during the race.

If Button scores 5 more points than Barrichello next race (I.E. fourth place or above if Barrichello does not score), then he will be champion.  It is worth noting that it is becoming increasingly difficult for the Brawns to win now the other teams have caught up, and that Hamilton lost a 17-point lead with two races to go in 2007, to lose to Raikkonen by one point… so either we could have the whole thing sewn up by this time next week or it could be blown right open…

Did you enjoy the race?  Do you like the circuit?  Do you think Rosberg is the next big thing?  Who was your star of the race?  Will Button be champion or will Barrichello catch him up?  As always, I’d love to hear from you so let me know your thoughts in the comments… ;)

More Shaken Up Than A Singapore Sling

Time for Qualifying Analysis for the Singapore Grand Prix.  An interesting session today on a dusty and slippery track under the lights of the Marina Bay circuit.  Button has had car problems all weekend (mainly complaining of understeer) and did not make it into Q3, qualifying 12th.  Fisichella did not even make it into Q2, along with both Force India’s – but then this circuit has very little of the fast sweeping corners, being a street circuit which is very stop-start in nature.

Let’s have a look at the top 10 times in Q3:

Sin09_q3times

Quite a strange linear progression in the times here!

That being said, both Red Bulls qualified well and both BMW’s managed to get into the top 10 for the first time this season.  Hamilton gets pole, Rosberg third and Q3 was stopped 23 seconds before the end because Barrichello hit the wall, denying many with a chance of setting their best lap times.  Speaking of Barrichello, he qualified fifth, although he starts 10th because of a gearbox penalty, due to an overtorque (and possible damage) in the gearbox two races ago at Spa.  A smart decision, as with approximately 40 gear changes per lap, the loads on a gearbox would be quite heavy!

Note: At the time of writing, there was no official word on Rubens’ starting position (or whether he had to take a further penalty in order to repair the car)…

Time to look at the Fuel Weights:

Sin09_fuelweights

The weights are quite close here too.  With a race length of 61 laps, pretty much every driver here is on a two-stop strategy.  This should not affect the positions much with the fuel corrected times, but let us have a look at them anyway:

Sin09_q3times_fuelcorrected

With Hamilton’s car being slightly heavier, he has a big lead of six tenths over Vettel (who was one of the lightest).  In fact, Vettel’s car being light means he is just pipped into second by Rosberg.  Otherwise, the positions do not change much except Kubica and Kovalainen who rise to eighth and ninth respectively and Heidfeld dropping to tenth.

Here is the Mega-Graph, which puts it all together:

Sin09_q3times_fuelweights corrected

And here is the graph with fuel corrected versus Q3 Times:

Sin09_q3times corrected

Race Predictions:

I think Hamilton is a great position to win tomorrow – he is quick and has a heavy car with KERS so should be able to leap away at the start and build up a good lead.  Although both Brawns seem to have missed an open goal, I think one will end up scoring a few points and changing the margin of the gap between them a little bit.  I hope that whoever ends up being champion does not ‘limp’ to it – I want to see a strong finish but it looks like that isn’t going to happen.

It looks like Red Bull are strong and will probably get on the podium.  As for Rosberg, well, who knows?  I don’t have a high opinion of him and I don’t think he will win for sure, he will probably finish fourth or fifth.  I hope I am wrong though – as I’m a bit of a Williams fan ;)

One thing though – whoever wins, I hope that this time, at least the result is honest – as we are bound to have some kind of mix-up due to a Safety Car comes out ;)

Let me know what you think and who you think will win tomorrow.  And remember to join me in Live Commenting during the race over at the good guys on Sidepodcast ;)

Don’t forget to vote in the poll below either, it’s just for fun though!

Singapore – The End Begins…

So, we’re finished with Europe and the battle lines have been drawn for the final showdown in a very strange but fantastic season.  Can Button hang on to win the title?

Can Barrichello overpower him and pip him at the post?  Or will Vettel surprise everybody and take the crown?  It will certainly be an exciting finish to the season and I hope you’ll all be watching :D

In preparation for the weekend, why not check out my driver consistency post from the last race, review the Fantasy Racers scores to help make your picks, or check out my special posts on the points situation, or a speculative post on what would have happened had the medals system proposed by Bernie had been used?

Hope you enjoy the race … let’s hope it’s an honest result this time and that the sport does not suffer any more controversy.  What do you think will happen and who do you think will win?  As always, let me know what you think in the comments…